Google Ads – Marketing Mix Modeling

Use Data Science to Analyze the True Effect of Google Ads

Integration of Marketing Mix Modeling into the evaluation of marketing channels to estimate their actual impact on conversions and branding beyond click-based attribution. Technical setup and development of a custom algorithm by Digitl to calculate ROI, saturation and impact of Google Ads and understand the overall impact, including impressions, impression share, clicks and costs.

Strategic Drivers and Technical Foundations of Marketing Mix Modeling

Budget Optimization & Scenario Planning

Effective budget optimization in Marketing Mix Modeling means identifying the ideal allocation of marketing spend across channels to achieve specific performance goals—whether maximizing ROI, reaching a CPA target, or boosting brand lift. In the context of Meridian, Google's open source framework, scenario planning supports two key optimization paths. Fixed Budget Scenario is an approach that helps maximize ROI or other KPIs within a predetermined total spend. One can fine-tune the optimization by defining a specific time frame, setting initial media allocations, and applying lower or upper limits to each channel’s budget. This ensures recommendations are both performance-driven and operationally realistic. For cases where budget isn't fixed, the flexible budget scenario identifies the optimal spend required to meet a minimum ROI target. Meridian calculates the maximum efficient budget and recommends its allocation across channels to meet goals with precision.

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Incrementality Testing

Incrementality testing is a method used to determine whether a marketing activity truly drives additional conversions, or whether those conversions would have occurred regardless. Through structured experiments—such as holdout groups, geo-testing, or randomized user samples—advertisers can isolate and measure the actual lift generated by specific campaigns. Unlike attribution, which focuses on distributing credit for conversions, incrementality testing helps establish causality by showing whether marketing influenced user behavior. By integrating incrementality testing into the broader measurement strategy alongside MMM and attribution, marketers can gain deeper confidence in their investment decisions and ensure their efforts are driving real, measurable impact.

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Brand versus Performance

MMM provides valuable insights into the distinct roles of brand and performance marketing by quantifying the impact of both brand-building activities, such as awareness campaigns and special events, and direct response initiatives that drive immediate conversions. By analyzing different channels through the "Adbank Effects" framework, MMM helps businesses understand which channels contribute to long-term brand building and which drive short-term performance. This understanding is crucial for balancing marketing strategies, as performance marketing delivers immediate results while brand efforts foster long-term growth and customer loyalty.

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ROI Analysis

ROI analysis is a pivotal component of MMM, providing a data-driven approach to evaluate the financial performance of various marketing channels. As a key cost-related KPI, alongside metrics like ROAS, ROI is derived from model outputs, comparing the revenue generated by each channel to its associated costs. The Looker Studio dashboard features a channel evaluation table summarizing ROI across channels, allowing businesses to easily identify top performers and areas for improvement. This analysis is essential for optimizing future media mixes, guiding budget allocation decisions, and enhancing overall marketing efficiency.

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Carry-Over Effect

The carry-over effect acknowledges the reality that marketing's influence transcends immediate impressions. Ads, campaigns, and other marketing touchpoints can continue to influence consumer behavior and drive conversions well beyond their initial exposure. Digitl's MMM models incorporate this phenomenon by meticulously calculating short-, medium-, and long-term carry-over effects for each marketing channel. This nuanced approach ensures that the true impact of each channel is accurately captured, leading to a more comprehensive understanding of marketing effectiveness and facilitating informed decisions on budget allocation and campaign optimization.

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Seasonality & Trends

Incorporating external factors like holidays, seasonality, and broader market trends into MMM is vital for accurately capturing their influence on conversions. This ensures a more precise understanding of marketing effectiveness by distinguishing between the impact of marketing efforts and natural fluctuations in demand.

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Cloud Platform

A robust and scalable technical infrastructure is crucial for efficient MMM execution. Digitl uses Google Cloud to establish a secure and automated environment for data ingestion, storage, machine learning, and visualization. This infrastructure includes components like BigQuery for data warehousing, Vertex AI for model development and deployment, and Looker for interactive dashboards and reporting. Automation and orchestration tools ensure seamless data flow and efficient model updates, keeping insights fresh and actionable.

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Additional Services by Digitl for Google Ads

Marketing Technology Services that support Google Ads teams with knowledge and resources about Tech and Data.

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Implementation

Setup and integration of Google Ads within marketing infrastructure, including the implementation of triggers and tags for performance tracking and advanced analysis.

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AI

Gemini, ChatGPT and other AI models to increase efficiency of media buying and optimization of workflows by using AI Agents and GenAI modules.

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Dashboards & Reports

Automated aggregation of data for KPI reporting to analyse the effect and performance of Google Ads campaigns. Creation of appealing Dashboards that go beyond pure metrics.

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Data Integration

Integration of Offline-, CRM- or User data. Use predictions or other KPIs in your marketing technology infrastructure to active it with Google Ads campaigns.

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Process Automation

Orchestration of automated workflows in AWS, Azure or Google Cloud for data activation, predictions, advanced analysis or reporting to drive efficiency of Google Ads campaigns.

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Advanced Analysis

Advanced analysis of Google Ads campaigns with audience demographics, content performance analysis, and cross-channel attribution modeling to understand its true impact.

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Attribution

Advanced attribution modeling for Search advertising, beyond last-click analysis to understand the customer journey and assign credit across various touchpoints for accurate measurement of campaign effectiveness.

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User Segmentation

First-party data is segmented by demographics, interests, behavior, and engagement patterns to activate audiences or analyze Google Ads performance.

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App Tracking

App tracking data, including installs, in-app events, and post-install conversions, is used for KPI reporting to analyze the effectiveness of Google Ads campaigns, driving app engagement and acquisition.

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Advanced Services

Custom technical solutions, data integration, scripts or workflow orchestration for advanced marketing technology stacks or in Cloud platforms (AWS, Azure, Google Cloud) to maximize efficiency.

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Tech Audit

Technical audit of Google Ads campaigns to evaluate the integrity and efficiency of tracking implementations. This includes a comprehensive review of pixels, tags, and audience lists to ensure accurate data collection and attribution.

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Meridian Partner

Digitl is a certified company for various products and services from Google. This covers tools of the Google Marketing Platform and Google Cloud. The certification ensures high quality, know-how and a close collaboration with Google to get information about features, trends, bugs, betas and more.

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